How one defector got it right

In 100 years of fake communist collapses, we saw how top KGB defector Anatoliy Golitsyn’s warning of a fake Soviet collapse was supported by evidence of previous staged collapses by the very same Soviets. Turning toward the time period after Golitsyn’s warnings, we see an astonishing record of accuracy. 

Near perfect predictions

The New American reports on how Golitsyn far surpasses mainstream Russia analysts, who were taken by surprise by perestroika and much else:

With his intimate knowledge of the KGB strategy, Golitsyn accurately foresaw, years ahead of actual events, many specific developments that have now occurred. He correctly predicted that Soviet dictator Yuri Andropov would be succeeded by “a younger leader with a more liberal image,” perfectly describing Mikhail Gorbachev and the political restructuring process that would be carried out under the name “perestroika.”

In his 1984 blockbuster book, New Lies for Old, Golitsyn correctly predicted that Solidarity would be legalized in Poland and allowed to form a coalition government with the communists after sham multiparty elections. He also foresaw, with astonishing precision, democratization in Czechoslovakia, with a revival of former communist dictator Dubcek and close allies; the opening of the Berlin Wall and the reunification of Germany as the core for a United Europe; the implementation of “democracy” in such countries as Romania and Hungary; the end of the Warsaw Pact; and the efforts of Eastern European governments to join the European Community as a prelude to unification with the West. Golitsyn even stated that these changes would begin during the five years following his 1984 book — which actually happened, from Gorbachev’s appointment in 1985 to the renewal in Eastern Europe since early 1989.

Mark Riebling, author of the important 1994 book Wedge: The Secret War Between the FBI and CIA, says of Golitsyn’s predictions in New Lies for Old: “139 out of 148 were fulfilled by the end of 1993 — an accuracy rate of nearly 94 percent” ... No other foreign policy analyst even comes close to Golitsyn’s level of accuracy and depth of analysis. [Emphases added].

Former communists rule

Golitsyn specifically pointed out that the telltale sign of a fake liberalization is when we see that “former communist officials were fully rehabilitated.” As reported in Putin’s Russia, this is exactly the case in Russia.

KGB influence ‘soars under Putin,'” blared the headline of a BBC online article for December 13, 2006. The following day, a similar headline echoed a similarly alarming story at the website of Der Spiegel, one of Germany’s largest news magazines: “Putin’s Russia: Kremlin Riddled with Former KGB Agents.”

In the opening sentences of Der Spiegel’s article, readers are informed that: “Four out of five members of Russia’s political and business elite have a KGB past, according to a new study by the prestigious [Russian] Academy of Sciences. The influence of ex-Soviet spies has ballooned under President Vladimir Putin.”

The study, which looked at 1,061 top Kremlin, regional, and corporate jobs, found that “78 percent of the Russian elite” are what are known in Russia as “siloviki,” which is to say, former members of the KGB or its domestic successor, the FSB. 

The author of the study, Olga Kryshtanovskaya, expressed shock at her own findings ... Other supposed experts — in Russia and the West — have also expressed surprise and alarm at the apparent resurrection of the dreaded Soviet secret police. After all, for the past decade and a half these same experts have been pointing to the alleged demise of the KGB as the primary evidence supporting their claim that communism is dead.

Ukraine

With so-called former communists in charge of Russia, one would certainly not want to support that nation in any way. What are the alternatives?

See our previous article in this series:

Did the Soviet Union fake its own funeral?

100 years of fake communist collapses

And check in for the continuation of this series as we answer these questions:

Does the US fund  ‘former’ communists?

Is the Soviet Union reoccupying the former Soviet republics one by one?

Who’s really in charge in Russia?

Who’s really in charge in Ukraine?

Is the Ukraine war a controlled conflict?

How should the West respond to the Ukraine war?